Now I freely admit that I am no statistician but when presented with some simple numbers I can usually understand what I am looking at. Now looking at the following I have to ask: what am I missing here?
Meanwhile, a week after President Bush’s State of the Union address, his approval rating has fallen to 50 percent from 54 percent in the last Newsweek Poll (1/8-9/04). Yet, a 52-percent majority of registered voters says it would not like to see him re-elected to a second term. Only 44 percent say they would like to see him re-elected, a four-point drop from the last Newsweek Poll. (Of that, 37% strongly want to see him re-elected, and 47% strongly do not). However, a large majority of voters (78%) says that it is very likely (40%) or somewhat likely (38%) that Bush will in fact be re- elected to a second term in office. Only 10 percent believe it is not too likely or not at all likely (10%).
The bolding is my own to point out to you what I am having a problem wrapping my head around. If 52% of the voters do NOT want another Bush term then how can 78% believe that he will be re-elected? More voting theft?
If all of the 52% get out to vote and manage to convince just ONE person who is still undecided to vote against Bush then short of another outright theft of the Presidency how can he win? I know that Democrats by nature have this self-defeating approach to politics but come on folks, if the Republicans have shown us anything it is that you can crush the opposition by putting on the blinders, marching in lock step to the polls, and voting for the party – not for the man. It may be repugnant to consider this mindless approach to politics but do you want four more years of Bush? Four more years of a Republican Congress?
If you want Bush and his cronies out of our Whitehouse then you may just have to play it like they do. Forget your doubt and vote them out!