Now I freely admit that I am no statistician but when presented with some simple numbers I can usually understand what I am looking at. Now looking at the following I have to ask: what am I missing here?
Meanwhile, a week after President Bush’s State of the Union address, his approval rating has fallen to 50 percent from 54 percent in the last Newsweek Poll (1/8-9/04). Yet, a 52-percent majority of registered voters says it would not like to see him re-elected to a second term. Only 44 percent say they would like to see him re-elected, a four-point drop from the last Newsweek Poll. (Of that, 37% strongly want to see him re-elected, and 47% strongly do not). However, a large majority of voters (78%) says that it is very likely (40%) or somewhat likely (38%) that Bush will in fact be re- elected to a second term in office. Only 10 percent believe it is not too likely or not at all likely (10%).
The bolding is my own to point out to you what I am having a problem wrapping my head around. If 52% of the voters do NOT want another Bush term then how can 78% believe that he will be re-elected? More voting theft?
If all of the 52% get out to vote and manage to convince just ONE person who is still undecided to vote against Bush then short of another outright theft of the Presidency how can he win? I know that Democrats by nature have this self-defeating approach to politics but come on folks, if the Republicans have shown us anything it is that you can crush the opposition by putting on the blinders, marching in lock step to the polls, and voting for the party - not for the man. It may be repugnant to consider this mindless approach to politics but do you want four more years of Bush? Four more years of a Republican Congress?
If you want Bush and his cronies out of our Whitehouse then you may just have to play it like they do. Forget your doubt and vote them out!


















At this point, you are making some sense. In fact, at points I thought you actually had it, and we were just bantering over wording.
In fact, I wish you’d given up right there. You have it almost precisely. Except for the fact that the north used slaves in the factories, but found that in many cases it was just as economically feasible to use “paid” labor. Slaves were not exactly cheap, and they had to be fed and housed. Where children could be hired: no initial investment, no housing, no feeding, just a small stipend or even piecemeal. So then I was thinking, we’re agreeing the causes were primarily economic. I thought that’s what I was saying. I grouped it all under state’s rights, but I don’t really see the difference. But then you had to go and spoil it all:
I think it might be nearer the truth to say industrial manufacture was denied to the south. It’s true that morality of slavery was being debated. Think you that that sentiment was occurring only in the North? (does his best Yoda). Only about 20% of Southern citizens owned slaves, that means that the other 80% must have been fighting for something else . The CSFoA began in 1861, one’s got to figure they were planing it a bit before then. The slaves were freed in 1865. Remember, there is no TV or radio, certainly no web. Mass communication’s best entries were the telegraph and the newspaper. Now the tariffs and other economic Federal abuses had already transpired. In 1861 a Union General (Butler) took slaves as contraband and PUT THEM TO WORK! Lincoln overturned an order in 1862 by a General (Hunter) that had freed the slaves in SC and FL. The only way that in 1861 the south could have been fighting to keep their slaves is if they were of the 20% that owned them AND they were clairvoyant prophets! So yes, I suppose it’s possible that you could be correct. I guess my basic presumption that there hasn’t been any prophecy since the original time of Pentecost is hindering my ability to believe in your point.
Here again you begin on the right foot. But how could those owners know that 6 years from now it would happen? If I told you that 6 years from now, analog cell phones would be illegal, would you start forming an army to oppose me? Somehow, I doubt it.
I am glad to read that you trust Lewis’s observations. Perhaps we are closer in thought than either of us might think. But then, he loved Beowulf, and you howl at the idea of reading it (or are you complaining of being too dog tired? Maybe you should just Grendel and bear it). But even though I think we are very close to agreement at this point, there are 2 things I need to set straight: 1) My wife was a grad student when we married. It’s not that I do not feel for the long hours and low pay you receive. It’s that we saw it as an honor, and the opportunity to go forth and use the skills she learned was the whole point of the education, an adventure. Your complaints sound as if producing something useful was not the end goal of learning. We had a word for folks that were permanent students when I was in school: leech. Your dramatics over your loss is of no consequence to me. In fact, if anything, I’d call it growing pains, and say it was good for you, and you should be grateful for what you’ve had. 2) I’m often amazed that folks wear necklaces or other adornments labeling themselves “bitch”. Knowing that you’re a bitch, or that you are bitching, is hardly an excuse to continue. To the contrary, knowing that you’re behavior is less than ideal should inspire improvement. Clouding the issue by attempting to rationalize it doesn’t speak well for your personality. It’s part of that learning to get along with others thing that I thought was taught in Kindergarten. So, if this is helping you to be humble, then I say good. I’d hate to think I was just wasting my time discussing the civil war.
So go teach your students about Celtic culture, lecture till your blue in the face, I Daire ya. Woad be unto those who do not pay attention in class...and that’s no bull...help...I can’t stop!!!